Torino will be without Leandro Castan due to a muscle problem, leading to a weakening at the heart of the defence where Moretti is anticipated to keep his place. In midfield Baselli and Obi are competing for a starting berth, with the latter seemingly favourite to get the nod, while with Iago Falque a doubtful starter in attack, Iturbe could make his first Serie A start for the club. Mihajlovic’s side will be targeting a win to reignite their challenge for a European place, although they aren’t enjoying their best spell of the season, having taken just four points from the last five games. Their record against Milan is poor as well, with no wins in their last 18 Serie A meetings, but they’ll want to avenge the midweek Coppa Italia defeat. It’s likely to be a close game and Torino will be looking for ways to get in front before focusing on keeping Milan out and operating on the counter attack. With them hungry for the three points, they won’t settle for a draw while level and will really become attacking if they find themselves trailing. They have the attacking quality to hurt the visitors, but usually concede at home as well. Torino aren’t enjoying their best spell of the season, having taken only four points from the last 15 available, although they have come in the last two games. They’ll be targeting a win to get back in the hunt for a European place, but they usually struggle to beat Milan. The two sides have only just met in the Coppa Italia, with Milan winning 2-1, so that gives an added incentive for Torino to come out on top, sensing the opportunity for some revenge. Their home form has been good this season, giving them belief.
Milan are pleased to have Romagnoli available after he missed the Coppa Italia win over Torino through illness, with him key to their defence. Kucka returns from injury to boost midfield options, but there is a chance that Montella will name the same team as he did for last weekend’s win over Cagliari. They will be close to full strength, with no new absentees. Montella’s side travel with confidence and are on a high at the moment, having achieved some good results of late. They’ll be aiming for another win, but from this tricky away fixture they are unlikely to be too disappointed to come away with a draw. Their strong record against Torino will give them belief that they can pick up a positive result. The visitors won’t just sit back and defend, but they’ll want to keep it tight, not giving Torino any encouragement. They’ll be looking for ways to win and in what is likely to be a balanced encounter, chances are likely at both ends. Milan haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last five away games, so may need to score more than one to win it, but with Bacca back amongst the goals, they’re capable.
Verdict & Prediction
Torino will be targeting a win to get back in the hunt for a European place, but they usually struggle to beat Milan. The two sides have only just met in the Coppa Italia, with Milan winning 2-1, so that gives an added incentive for Torino to come out on top, sensing the opportunity for some revenge. Their home form has been good this season, giving them belief. Milan are on a high at present, having lifted the Italian Super Cup, before beating Cagliari last time out in Serie A and then knocking Torino out of the Coppa Italia in midweek. They’ll be keen to extend their positive streak, looking to win, although a draw wouldn’t be such a bad result. They will believe they can get a result, not being beaten in their last 18 Serie A meetings with Torino, and will therefore travel with confidence. They are still in the race for a top three finish, so will be determined to get a result and morale is currently high in the group. We recommend a bet on over 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.93 Pinnacle