The home side are in a terrible spot right now, winning only 2 games thus far and drawing only 1. Needless to say, they are sitting at the last spot in the league 5 points away from escaping the relegation. Of course, it’s too early to say if they will be relegated but they need to improve drastically if they want to end in a decent position by the end of the season.
Looking at Nagoya team, they will be without 4 of their players; Tamada, Arai, and Matsumoto are all still injured, whereas Cezar Washington is out due to the foreign player limit. The weakened team is not their only concerns as morale is or should be at its low. That is expected as Nagoya has struggled in their last 8 league games, losing all of them. The upcoming game will not be any easier for them, as they are facing one of the main candidates to win the title this season, so any bet on Nagoya would be too high of a risk for me. Even at +0.75 on Nagoya, I don’t see it as a smart bet solely due to their recent performances.
Cerezo Osaka, on the other hand, are sitting at 5th place in the league, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games. Looking at the missing players for Osaka, they will have to play without Osmar, Kimoto, Souza, Akiyama, and Sawakami who are all injured. On the bright side, Cerezo Osaka does have enough depth in the squad to replace the missing players so the injuries shouldn’t affect them too much.
Nagoya has approached their games with a highly aggressive attacking style which is always a risky decision. Sadly that did not bear any fruits thus far. Today we can expect the same aggressive approach, which could easily backfire as it did many times before for them. On the other hand, Cerezo Osaka will not be satisfied with anything less than 3 points so this could easily spell out a high scoring game with over 3 goals, but we won’t go for this prediction.
Verdict & Prediction
The visiting team has without a doubt a lot more potential and quality so we can expect plenty of scoring opportunities from them, especially against weak Nagoya defence, which is currently ranked the worst in the league. Every match is important for Cerezo Osaka if they want to win the league. 5th place is not bad but not good enough for them, so expect Osaka to come into the match highly determined to take all 3 points.
Prediction: Cerezo Osaka -0.75 Asian Handicap
Odds: 2.00 SBOBET, 1.98 Pinnacle