CARPI v AS ROMA – SERIE A
February 12 2016, Stadio Sandro Cabassi, 19:45 GMT+0
The home team is coming from 2 consecutive losses on the road against Florentine (2:1) and Napoli (1:0). Those results are quite decent, taking into consideration, that those two opponents are both in top 3 teams in Serie A this season. Nevertheless, those performances do not show a real picture.
Carpi choose a tactic, football fans do not like to see and it’s called “parking the bus”. That can be clearly seen in statistics in a match against Napoli. With only 24% possession and 2 goal attempts, with 0 shots on goal, it is clear Carpi choose a defensive tactic and did not put up a fight at all. Against Fiorentina, the statistics show a similar story. All in all the seemingly improvement in Carpi form is just a illusion, as the stats show the real side of the picture.
Home form of today hosts is decent, with 3 games without a loss, but the 2 wins achieved at Stadio Sandro Cabassi were both against out of form Udinese and Sampdoria, so given a real opponent the result may differ.
As for the squad, Carpi will be missing Fedele, Bubnjic, Pasciuti, Poli and Bianco, on the positive note Gafliolo, Lollo (who scored 2 goals this season) and Suagher will join their team.
Looking at today’s visitors, Roma they are on a 3 win streak, and might be a sign of improvement, compared to some crisis they were having lately. With latest wins against Sampdiroa (2:1), Sassuolo (0:2) and Frosinone (3:1) the morale of the squad is surely high even though those teams are not recognised as strong. But Roma surely will try to extend their winning streak against today’s opponents. The improvement can surely be linked to a new coach Luciano Spalletti.
Besides absences of Strootman, Capradossi, Ponce, Torosidis, Gymober and De Rossi, Totti is also freshly injured. On the positive note, Nainggolan is back with his team after missing 1 match.
Gervinho left the club to play in China, but Roma found a excellent replacement in Stephan El Shaarawy and Ervin Zukanovic.
These two teams clashed once already this season, where Roma came on top with 1:5, and looking at current form of both teams I can safely say Roma will rise above Carpi once again in today’s match.
Prediction: Roma -0.5
Odds: 1.89 Pinnacle