CAEN v MONACO – France Ligue One
March 4 2016, Stade Malherbe Caen, 19:30 GMT+0
This two sides already met each other on one occasion this season, the game took place at Stadio Louis II, where the home side, Monaco weren’t able to beat the visitors, and the game ended in a draw (1:1). That game was not dominated by neither side and a draw was a fair outcome, I might also mention there were only 6 shots on goal in total, 3 by each side.
Looking at Caen lates performances, they won against St Etienne (1:2), with all 3 goals being scored after 78′. Caen opened the scoring in 78′ and scored another right after, in 82′. St Etienne responded with a goal in 90’+1, but it was too late to turn the match around, with 2 late goals it was clear that the visitors will walk away with all 3 points. The main reason for that scoreline was St Etienne’s “greed” as they pushed for a winner and made a mistake by moving their players upwards the pitch, which game Caen great opportunity to counterattack. The tactis of “parking the bus” from Caen turned out as a great chiose by coach Patrice Granade. I can say Caen surprised their opponents, as they were the underdogs in that match up.
Today we will see Caen playing at home pitch, and with missing players Delort (leading scorer), winger Ntibazonkiza, 2 midfielders Delaplace and Diomande and a defender Imorou we expect the home side to play defensive, as they have some problems with attacking line due to mentioned missing players. Monaco is currently second in the league, and as far as league title goes it has been clear who the winner will be for a while. PSG, with 23 points lead has proven they are a dominant force in France League 1. Monaco is on a good road to run away from trailing Lyon and today’s opponents Caen, as they are 8 points ahead of both the teams. This successful form can be linked to respectful away record (6-6-2) and decent home record (7-5-2). Even though the away record is quite good, Monaco failed to win in the last 3 away matches against Angers (3:0), St Etienne (1:1) and Nantes (0:0). Nevertheless the coach Leonardo Jardim did a good job with the available squad and budget this season. As for missing players, the injury list is becoming shorter, the only players who will miss this match are suspended Dirar and long term injured Cavakeiro, Coentrao, Traore and Pasalic.
In conclusion, I see this match as a tight one for both sides, we can expect little scoring opportunities and consequently a low scoring match. I would not be surprised if it ended in 0:0 or only a goal for one of the sides.
Prediction: Under 2.25
Odds: 1.78 Pinnacle