AVELLINO v CAGLIARI – SERIE B
January 29 2016, Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi 19:30 GMT+0
8th placed Avellino will host second placed Cagliari in today’s match at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. At home ground Avellino has a respective record (7-2-2), where even Cagliari might not be up to the task to win this one.
The visitors, who have fallen to second place in Serie B after a defeat to Crotone, created a reputation for themselves as the most effective club once it involves home games and has not yet suffered defeat at home. Whereas they seem to be a somewhat mediocre once it comes to playing away from home (4-3-4).
When looking at previous away matches for Cagliari, they failed to convert a match against Livorno into 3 points, who is at 18th place, which soley shows us, they can fail to put up a decent fight once visiting another team.
When comparing Cagliari away performances, where they managed to get 15 points during this season and Avellino home performances (23 ponts), I can give Avellino a edge in this match, as they have suffered only 2 losses in last ten matches against Vicenza and Perugia.
Neither of the teams will have full squad available today. Looking at Cagliari, they will play without Capuano and Dessena, who are both in long term absence, whereas Balzaro, Krajnc and Murru are all back to play with their team after missing one match.
On the home side there are 2 freshly injured players DAngelo and Rea, whereas Schavon, Nitriansky, Napol and Arini are all in long term absence. On the plus side Ligi is back along with his team.
In conclusion, I think Avellino gives us a sensible likelihood to win this one, simply because of home advantage where they showed us they can be a threat to any visitor. I will recommend to bet Avellino +0.25 as there is a slight chance this match can find itself to end up in a draw.
Prediction: Avellino +0.25
Odds: 1.92 SBOBET